Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000007 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012 0.000013
2025-02-09 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000015 0.000019
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031
2025-03-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000022 0.000037
2025-03-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000024 0.000043
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000026 0.000049
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000028 0.000056
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000029 0.000062
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000071
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036 0.000086
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000039 0.000100
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000043 0.000119
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000019 0.000046 0.000138
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000009 0.000020 0.000049 0.000157
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000052 0.000177
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000057 0.000206
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000062 0.000245
2025-06-22 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000065 0.000270
2025-06-29 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000069 0.000308
2025-07-06 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000071 0.000338